Up to $1,000 in Bonus Bets. Moneyline (ML): SE Missouri State -135 (bet $135 to win $110) | Tennessee Tech +105 (bet $100 to win $105) Against the spread: SE Missouri State -2.5 (+100) | Tennessee Tech +2.5 (-120) Just like Noren, he finished 12th last week at the Byron Nelson, so he comes into this event in good form. If you're looking for picks that are a bit more daring,Keegan Bradley (+6500) and Cameron Young (+8000)each have the potential to outperform expectations. Some of the game's biggest names, including Scottie Scheffler, Jordan Spieth, and Jon Rahm, have added wins. Sleeper pick: Justin Rose, +12,500. With Jon Rahm, the world No. He's also coming into this event off of a third-place finish at the Byron Nelson, so you know he's in great form. The putter will need to get hot for him to walk away with the trophy, but he could end up in the top 10 even with a cold one. (Photo: Andrew Wevers-USA TODAY Sports). His PGA TOUR Horse for the Course for daily fantasy golf based on course history. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). the winner of the PGA Tour's Barracuda Championship in 2021 . 1 golfer ranks first in "Strokes Gained: Total" over his past 50 rounds on Dye courses. This season, despite only one stroke play top 10 on U.S. soil, Scott has been playing like a potential tournament winner. 5 Second Chance Bets up to $50. Hes finished runner-up two other times this season as well (Sanderson Farms, Genesis). List ranks top-20 in many of the key categories for the demanding test in store at Bay Hill, including Driving Distance, SG: OTT, Prox 200+ and Par-4: 450-500. About the only thing that fans know for certain is that we won't have a repeat champion, as Phil Mickelson won't be participating in the event amid an ongoing feud with the PGA Tour. Don't have an account? Either way, buckle up, because water and wind should make for plenty of drama come Sunday. Im not going to stand here and pretend Im not terrified of Luke Lists putting prospects this week, considering he has now gone 18 consecutive events since he last gained on the greens. The Horse 5. Scott ranks fifth in the world in Strokes Gained: Putting over the last year. Shane Lowry (+2800)is fresh off a top-three finish at the 2022 Masters and looks poised to do well on this course. Henley has numerous tour victories in windy conditions. Up to $1,250 on Caesars. I worry this course might be a little too long for him, but he's too good to leave off the card. Mandatory Credit: Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports. big-bucks bets with a sportsbook. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! shot lead in the second round of the PGA Tour's Arnold Palmer Invitational on Friday.The Spaniard had taken a two-shot lead on Thursday with a seven-under-par 65 . 1 golfer in the world, will have to face off against the rest of the world's top-10 golfers, a group that is highlighted by Jon Rahm, Collin Morikawa, Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth and Justin Thomas. While he has struggled on the PGA Tour, he displayed good form finishing in 14th-place at The Masters in April. Hes finished T23 or better in each of his last four starts, including Top 5 finishes at the Zurich Classic (the team event) and the RBC Heritage. But again, it was a good time off, but definitely enjoyed being out here more.. You can too! Sleeper pick: Davis Riley, +25,000: Riley is striping it as well as anyone in professional golf right now. Because as Southern Hillssuperintendent Russ Myers says, getting close to the pin is the hardest part of the course. In my case for Max Homa, I argued that while there are differences between weekly PGA Tournaments and majors, good golf will find a way to translate. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. When it comes to the weather, it's supposed to be gusty this week, so that will be something to keep an eye on. As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. He ranks top 30 in this field in approach, putting, bogey avoidance, three-putt avoidance, and sand saves. That changes this week with the arrival of the seasons second major championship: the 2022 PGA Championship at Southern Hills Country Club. His victory at the Wells Fargo was his second of the season, as he took home the hardware at the season opener, the Fortinet Championship. His driver is a skill that will translate. Jon Rahm is the 7-1 betting favorite in the latest Arnold Palmer Invitational . Overall, the field is absolutely stacked, so this will be fun to watch, especially come Sunday. Now lets dig into some longshots.. All of these things put together should bode well for the European golfers who are used to playing on these courses and in these conditions. That means it's time to pick your optimal DraftKings fantasy golf lineup for the season's. Hovland, like Thomas, has one weaker portion of his game, and that is his one-putt percentage. No real weaknesses. The 2021 PGA Championship Fantasy Sleeper Report Before placing any golf wagers, we consider many, many different variables, but sometimes it's the 'sleeper' factors that inform an event winner. Being a big hitter will help on this course, but having a great approach game will be the key to winning the Wanamaker trophy. (Photo: Nick Wass/Associated Press). GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF, PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Southern Hills, What is Jim Nantzs career lowlight? Let him tell you about adult film, Its f hard: Jon Rahm comes back to Earth at brutal Bay Hill. K.H. Out of his 10 professional wins, six have come on the European Tour on links-style courses. I dont buy into many course comparisons this week. Kerry Haigh, the PGA of America's chief championships officer, can be credited for the rise of the PGA Championship as it continues to climb the ranks of best majors of the season. The 2022 edition of the PGA Championship will be played at Southern Hills in Oklahoma. 1. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. The only common thread I can find between past winners at Southern Hills is that theyre all properly good ball-strikers. It's his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three . There are a few solid, mid-tier values on this week's card. Sleeper pick: Y.E. Sleeper PGA DFS Picks Justin Suh $6,900. We had a 50-year-old win the PGA last year, so why cant a 49-year-old get it done this week? His solid short game will help around Southern Hills, and if the flat stick gets hot he can keep up with anyone. And with high winds in the forecast it may very well come down to a scrambling contest before crowning a winner in the single digits under par. Four podium finishes this season, three of which were runners-up, prove his game can travel to any type of golf course. He broke a winless drought earlier this season at the ZOZO Championship and followed that up with three top-20 finishes over his next six starts leading up to this week. Spieths finishes since the Masters feature a win and a solo second, so his game is shaping up. The course plays differently than it has in the past, as the rough isn't as thick as it once was thanks to a course re-design in 2018. Over those 12 rounds, hes shot over par just once a three-over 75 during the second round at Augusta. I went back and forth here with fellow Englishman Paul Casey, but I settled on Hatton for a few reasons. The form is there, and by all accounts, the course fit is there. The PGA Tour rookie is now up to No. The Ponies 7. Of course, Young's weakness is the all-important approach game, where he ranks 83rd in SG:APR. His only top-15 this season that I just mentioned a moment ago? The Twitter handle is a joke. In his past two starts, Champ has been channeling that power into better scoring, with a T10 at the Masters and T6 at the Mexico Open. Scheffler is playing the best golf of his career and earned his first major win at the Masters in April. 2022 PGA Championship viewers guide: Tee times, TV schedule, streaming, how to watch, Love transfusion cocktails? Some of the best have bigger numbers than usual, and Shane McNichol has picked five of his favorites. Over the past 12 months, he ranks third in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee. Hes just, well, not there. Its just that the bookmakers dont over at BetMGM, Champs well down the board, at 150-1 to win. Henley ranks fifth in the field in approach and 20th around the green. I lost all the muscle in my arm pretty much for not using it for four and a half, five months. Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. Welcome back, RotoBallers, to my PGA DFS Pivots for DraftKings! If Zalatoris remains near 10% is a great play. Ohio Sports Betting Promos: Michigan State Spartans OSU Buckeyes Odds. The Florida swing on the PGA Tour rolls on this week with the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge, and golf fans will be relieved to see a loaded field after last week's Honda Classic featured just three of the top 30 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. Tyrell Hatton ($8,100) - Tyrell Hatton has now gained strokes putting in nine straight events. Woods is set to participate in the event this year; he missed it in 2021 while recovering from injuries sustained in a Feb. 23 car crash earlier that year. Only two of that crop are being offered at odds lower than +10000 at most sportsbooks. He won the PGA Championship in 2017 and tied for sixth in the event in 2018. SBR - trusted by bettors for over 20 years. This is likely the case, but how much we should weight that metric is up for debate. Many notable contenders are in peak form right now and leading the charge in the PGA standings. PGA Splits 101(great Twitter follow) used true "Strokes Gained" data from Data Golf, adjusted for field strength, and saw that Morikawa is the best ball-striker at the PGA Championship over the past 20 rounds. Stellar short games will be a must, and few players are better around the greens than Berger. So with that, its no surprise that I have Rory McIlroy as my outright pick to win the 2022 PGA Championship along with sprinkles on guys like Hideki Matsuyama and Shane Lowry. Missouri Valley Touranment Odds: Which Veteran-Laden Team Prevails? Obviously, a lot has. Our goal is to put out the highest-quality content and tools. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. Tulsa, Okla.,plays host to a stacked field, wide open for a winner to emerge from among the favorites or from well further down the board. As the elevated events have proven thus far in 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots. But he is a player with whom casual fans are still not familiar. Probably the first four, five events, I played with some pretty decent pain, he said at the Mexico Open. "They're just covering their ass and saying everything that the PGA Tour basically has trained them to say", "Playing the cutline is one of the toughest things in golf. He is in good form as he has finished 41st or better in 10 of his last 11 starts. Arnold Palmer Invitational Field. He was originally co-favored to win the event along withScottie Scheffler (+1200)andJustin Thomas (+1200), but Rahm has emerged as the favorite this year. Critics say new PGA Tour events copy LIV. If you like storylines entering a. Yeah, its our little oasis at home, and we love it. I know it's going to be tough for Morikawa to win this event in back-to-back years, but I can't resist. PGA Championship 2021: Odds for Sleepers and Favorites at Kiawah Island Joe Tansey May 17, 2021 Jacob Kupferman/Associated Press Five first-time men's golf major winners have been crowned in. He completes the grand slam. Golf's second major is upon us as the best players in the world head to Tulsa, Oklahoma for the 2022 PGA . And youll find few whove shown more consistency here than Bradley. I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. The 2022 PGA Championship at Southern Hills is just a few days from getting underway. No, hes not sick. The combination of course familiarity and recent play would make Scott a potent threat if his putter gets extra hot this week. Sleeper pick: Richard Bland, +50,000. To-win: Jon Rahm, +1,200. When: March 2 to 5, 2023. Sleeper pick: Marc Leishman, +10,000. Note: prices listed below available at a major U.S. sportsbooks as of writing Monday evening. MacIntyre is a great ball striker who plays well in the wind. $1,200 in Bonus Bets. He is in top form and his game has reached an elite level in 2022, making him the player to beat at this year's PGA Championship. This week, the PGA event is The PGA Championship. Scheffler not only had an impressive practice round at Southern Hills recently, he also says its one of his favorite courses. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. WIN CASH WITH ROTOQL & BETQL: Start free trial. Some sleepers heading into the 2022 PGA at Southern Hills, Earlier this week, I previewed the PGA Championship focusing on three of the favorites at Southern Hills. Their cheat sheets, available for leagues on many major sites, are updated multiple . Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community! There isnt a hotter golfer on the planet, except world No. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) . hot putters. Fifty-four holes, no cut, that's an easy life" -- Padraig Harrington. TV Broadcast: GOLFTV. There also aren't as many trees narrowing angles to the fairway and hole. Among the deluge of Camerons on the PGA TOUR, 25-year-old American Cameron Young deserves some shine. In order to score well at Southern Hills,. Sign up for an account to get into the action today. With +15,000 odds, Ill take a flier on someone who I see as a future major champion. No promotions available. So, golfers won't get stuck as often as they used to with errant tee shots. He won at Mayakoba and recorded two straight top-five place finishes in the early spring. So, good putters should fare well on this course. He has made the cut in each of his eight tournaments since then, culminating in last week's T5 finish, which was his best career PGA TOUR . Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. Yang, +100,000. Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/2022-pga-championship-odds-sleeper-picks-jason-day-max-homa-southern-hills/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Best golf balls for 2023 for every budget and playing style, Best irons for 2023 for every handicap and playing style, Friday at Bay Hill: Jordan Spieth's putter wakes up, Jon Rahm takes a step back among notes from Day 2 at Arnold Palmer Invitational, LIV Golf reports 3.2 million viewers for opening event in Mexico, a stark difference from early reports, Photos: PopStroke by Tiger Woods opens its first location in Arizona, Putters used by PGA Tour players ranked in the top 10 in strokes gained putting, Photos: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational merchandise tent is fit for a king, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. However, it could lead to a similar situation to The Players Championship. Noren rounded out his AT&T Byron Nelson effort with an 8-under 64 and quietly added to what has been a fantastic season. We would appreciate your support by either turning off your adblocker or signing up for our ad-free subscription tier.Thanks for being a reader! The PGA Championship features a stacked field of golfers that will compete at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Okla. Scheffler, the No. Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. In a Lone Star showdown, Spieth takes home the Wanamaker to complete the grand slam. Even though it's located in South Carolina, the Ocean Course plays similar to a European-style links course. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. Yeah, youll get a lot of the favorites because those are name bets of course, folks are going to pick the Rorys and the Tigers because thats whom they know. Why is this? Since the 2022 FedEx Cup season opened in October, Scott has two top tens on the PGA Tour, two top 10s on the DP World Tour in Abu Dhabi and Dubai, and only missed one cut in 13 starts (at the wind-plagued PLAYERS Championship). These are decent odds for the best player in the world without a major, a mantle he wont have for long. Some recency bias could be coming into play. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. Rory McIlroy 8. Sleeper pick: Cameron Champ, +10,000. However, his game fits Southern Hills and he seems to be enjoying the course. Tiger Woods Made Jordan Spieth Feel Bad About Missing Masters Cut, Most PGA Championship wins in golf history, Tiger, Rory, and Spieth form all-star group at the PGA Championship, Scottie Schefflers post-Masters celebration was all-time white New Balance dad energy. Sleeper pick: Matthew Wolff +12,500. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected . With that said, however, his great form and how hes succeeding leads me to believe he can be a factor this week. To-win: Scottie Scheffler, +1,100. Here's everything you need to know to bet on the 2022 PGA Championship, including the latest tournament odds and best bets for the event. Weather is very difficult to predict. Furthermore, hes been a consistent gainer with his around-the-green play, even if hes not elite in that area. Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green. Try these Birdie Juice-flavored tee picks, Quench your thirst on or off the course with this spiked beverage, Arnold Palmer Invitational betting guide: 8 picks our expert loves at Bay Hill, 1 parlay we love and picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Shriners Children's Open picks: 4 bets we love this week in Las Vegas, Sanderson Farms Championship picks: 4 bets we love this week in Mississippi, Sanderson Farms Championship odds: Presidents Cuppers among betting favorites this week, Need help computing (and paying!) Now just three months from his 32nd birthday, the native of Seoul, South Korea, is making his PGA Championship debut as the fifth-best golfer from his homeland (at 115th in the Official World. Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). Shop around because I was still seeing some +2000's out there. Day has flashed signs of his younger self throughout this season. He's confident, and the putter is starting to become a friend once again. That said, he has a top-three approach game, ranks 12th in SG:OTT and is a top-five scrambler from the rough. Previewing the 2023 Puerto Rico Open with our top picks based on the best PGA Tour odds. You might also remember that he was in contention in the U.S. Open last year at Torrey Pines. Just shot 64 at Southern Hills his favorite course. Potential shortstop sleepers. Hes played like a top-30 player in the world over the last six months by Strokes Gained, leading to eight top-15 finishes this season. Wins at the U.S. Open (Merion) and Colonial were contested on courses that feature Maxwells fingerprints. His form in 2021 has also been inconsistent, but he finished 10th at the Arnold Palmer and 14th at Wells Fargo, so he has it in him to be in contention. This weekend is shaping up to be a legendary moment in the history of golf, as 156 of the best golfers in the world compete at the legendary Old Course at St Andrew's. Sleeper pick: Cameron Young, +8,000. PGA Championship sleepers One sleeper McClure is targeting this week at Southern Hills is Cameron Young, who is a massive 80-1 long shot at Caesars. Stars are everywhere on the leaderboard heading into the weekend at Bay Hill. He won the 2007 PGA at Southern Hills. The list of top performers at the Arnold Palmer Invitational reads like a list of major champions and annual major contenders. Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. By our count, 44 of the world's top-50 players will make the trip to Orlando - including all 13 winners of PGA TOUR events so far this term. Over the last 12 months, he ranks ninth in the world in True Strokes Gained, per DataGolf. Suh has exceeded salary-based expectations in nine straight events dating back to last fall's edition of The CJ Cup, where he finished T29 in a very strong field. PGA Championship picks, best odds, sleepers to win 2021 tournament Vikas Chokshi, BetQL.com 6 min read It's Major week, and the highly anticipated PGA Championship is finally here! Over his last 24 rounds, he ranks fifth in strokes gained approach. While he did MC, he was still able to gain three strokes on approach and 3.5 strokes tee-to-green. Noren thrives on and around the greens, but his ball-striking numbers are finally starting to follow suit. To-win: Jordan Spieth, +1,800. He has finished in the top three in both of his last two outings, with seven top-20 finishes this season. Lee must be thinking about packing up his family and moving to Dallas full time. Big Shot Bob and another expert contact hitter are among Paulie's longshot options for Southern Hills and the 2022 PGA. Dont let a MC at the Byron Nelson (or the Masters) fool you. No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000. readfullarticle Source: CBS Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. He missed the cut at The Byron Nelson at high ownership. The 30-year-old Englishmen has underperformed this year for how well he has played. Check out McNichol's five favorite longshot bets this week below. Early Redraft Sleepers to Target (2023 Fantasy Football) James Cook (RB - BUF) The rookie running back, known for his pass-catching, produced some hype last offseason after landing in an . Four top fives this season, two of which have come in his past two starts. Finding a mix of top-tier golfers and low-priced sleepers is the key to daily fantasy golf. But those that can get close to the pin should be in the best position to win. ET. Historically strong with the putter in hand, Young has run into a speed bump on the greens the last month, but if that club comes around in Tulsa, Young should find his name on the first page of the leaderboard. The 2022 edition of the PGA Championship will be played at Southern Hills in Oklahoma. 17. While there is a gulf of differences between the skills and mindset needed to win a major title and winning at your average PGA TOUR stop, Homas game should fit both on paper. 2022 PGA Championship Fantasy Sleeper Report. Im going all in on the course horses this week, especially those at a discount. ), PGA Tour golfers aren't the only ones who can make some starting next Thursday. The same can be said of a couple of players further down the board in Matt Fitzpatrick (+4500) andDaniel Berger (+4500). The 24-year-old has never finished better than 12th in a major and his best finish at the PGA Championship was a T-30 in 2021. Joe Nicely's under-the-radar DraftKings, FanDuel PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Phil Mickelson is the reigning winner of the PGA Championship. The PGA Championship is set for May 20-23 at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island in South Carolina. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. Wm Phx Open Final Round, Harold Varner III. Below are the odds for the top golfers in this year's PGA Championship. This will likely make scoring difficult and will put an emphasis on saving par. In 10 career starts at majors, Homa has yet to finish in the top 10. In fact, the other eight players who fit that criteria are all among the favorites this week and cant be found higher than roughly 25-1. Lets go with the legend himself for a DEEP sleeper. Since, hes picked up some additional confidence and experience on long, difficult courses, playing in his first Presidents Cup at Quail Hollow. Aside from digging into the data at the RickRunGood.com database and a couple of other models, I try to look for guys that have had past success at the particular course, value plays, and players that are trending in the right direction coming into an event. This course may remind Leishman a bit of some of his favorite courses back home in Australia, as it will feature firm fairways, slopey greens, heavy winds, lots of bunkers and shaved runoffs all around the greens. Just sometimes certain shots I might feel it a little bit, but again, its rare that it causes me any problems.. With all of this in mind, this week I'm targeting guys with good "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee,""Driving Distance,""Strokes Gained: Approach," and "Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green" metrics. For a guy who has popped up routinely throughout his career, it speaks to the quality of play from Harold Varner III to say that hes been playing perhaps the best golf of his career. That said, the presence of these elites has pushed quality players to a discounted odds range, creating some appealing value if any of the elites falter. But theres something about Southern Hills that I think will suit the Aussie to snap that streak. Be that as it may, the putter has not stopped him from posting three top-30 finishes over his last five starts. So, if he can blast some quality drives and make putts, he could be a surprise contender. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. Touts are lame. That will make strokes gained off the tee (SG:OTT) one of the most important metrics for evaluating this field. That won't be easy. Over the last three years, Max Homa has developed into a force at weekly PGA TOUR events. We hate touts. For now, well assume equal playing conditions for the full field when determining top value plays until more information becomes available on tee times and Thursday/Friday weather reports. Our panel of gambling experts,. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. Keegan Bradley in 2011, Jimmy Walker in 2016 even last year at Kiawah Island, Phil Mickelson was hardly on anyone's radar -- and if someone says otherwise, that person is likely lying. He lost more than seven strokes putting in his latest start. Why not now? To-win: Scottie Scheffler, +1,100. Like what you read today? The big concern would be driving accuracy as that could get him in trouble. Elsewhere, Scott is 80-1 or lower. Dahmen captured his first PGA Tour win at the 2021 Corales Puntacana Resort and Club Championship in March, and he finished T10 in last year's PGA Championship. This year's venue, Southern Hills Country Club, will play no favorites -- and neither will we as we outline potential candidates to follow in the footsteps of Yang and company. Matthew Wolff hasnt exactly had the trajectory that we anticipated. It could play out to what the forecast expects. 1 in the world and is golfs current darling, but Rahm is one of golfs fiercest competitors. Two of those were playoff losses to guys who arent exactly slouches (Spieth and Scheffler). Rory McIlroy is next in line at 19-2, with defending champion Scottie Scheffler at 11-1. 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